Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 12.181732 13.650205 15.239949 17.091162 19.190533 21.500717 24.240029
2025-05-04 10.289623 12.317905 14.676492 17.631305 21.247384 25.545385 31.065957
2025-05-11 8.577861 10.875481 13.719492 17.520351 22.499694 28.845588 37.616910
2025-05-18 7.263918 9.694880 12.877789 17.388999 23.680499 32.235096 44.903445
2025-05-25 6.233555 8.713750 12.130547 17.240592 24.791021 35.696478 52.931903
2025-06-01 5.440301 7.931961 11.527880 17.179073 25.990166 39.459143 62.102923
2025-06-08 4.813331 7.293616 11.029364 17.176292 27.253978 43.505214 72.483040
2025-06-15 4.424095 6.953821 10.922501 17.747528 29.494863 49.454373 87.173316
2025-06-22 3.959121 6.428619 10.446092 17.634429 30.563700 53.602608 99.532143
2025-06-29 3.513039 5.874375 9.844489 17.209841 31.004105 56.691683 110.523193
2025-07-06 3.167378 5.445074 9.395659 16.981448 31.749152 60.442420 123.562556
2025-07-13 2.984614 5.276269 9.378328 17.535983 34.059401 67.601759 145.210305
2025-07-20 2.810439 5.108303 9.352809 18.095931 36.528690 75.651403 170.982880
2025-07-27 2.616680 4.880604 9.186869 18.354920 38.428322 82.876262 196.699007
2025-08-03 2.379534 4.541901 8.764478 18.025676 39.009491 87.302114 216.746065
2025-08-10 2.175839 4.245699 8.390655 17.745652 39.656452 92.014197 238.783593
2025-08-17 1.998468 3.982603 8.052827 17.495773 40.333226 96.938107 262.735598
2025-08-24 1.851220 3.765377 7.785259 17.366090 41.278791 102.730443 290.768718
2025-08-31 1.725924 3.580785 7.565941 17.317061 42.418664 109.266819 322.900137
2025-09-07 1.657478 3.511519 7.592226 17.860420 45.181155 120.782967 374.038678
2025-09-14 1.546440 3.335822 7.357077 17.723944 46.112380 127.350868 411.030200
2025-09-21 1.425901 3.126235 7.020041 17.281833 46.129918 131.264603 440.169380
2025-09-28 1.329668 2.962880 6.774007 17.042078 46.680688 136.914692 477.356077